Lidar is temporarily unable to produce cars due to its high price and volume. However, major companies are actively researching and developing new products to solve these two problems. However, major companies are actively developing new laser pointer products to solve these two problems.
From the price of $ 80,000 in 2007 to $ 375 in 2017, it took only ten years to reduce the price by more than 99%. It will drop to $ 175 in 2018. It is expected that the price of lidar will be over the next three years. The gradual reduction to $ 100 will pave the way for production cars to use lidar.
The size of the laser pointer in the lidar market in 2020 is expected to exceed 10 billion. Lidar is expected to benefit from technological improvements and productivity enhancement. The cost of a single lidar is expected to reach 400 yuan in 2020. Based on the installation of 2 to 4 lidars (front-to-back detection distance) on the vehicle, the corresponding cost is 800-1600 yuan. According to the 25% penetration rate of the after-installation market before 2020 and the 5% penetration rate of the after-installation market, the size of the Chinese market is expected to be nearly 20 billion.
Lidar solidification is the future trend, and there are advantages of miniaturization and low cost. The solid-state lidar does not require rotating parts, so it is smaller and easier to integrate into the body, and the system reliability is improved, and the cost can be greatly reduced. Therefore, lidar has a tendency to develop into solid state.
In the industry, one way to reduce costs is to eliminate mechanical rotating structures and adopt solid-state technology to fundamentally reduce the cost of laser pointer radar. One way is to reduce the number of lidar lines and use multiple low-line number lidars in combination. Previously, the domestic manufacturer Sagitar Juchuang demonstrated a multi-lidar coupling solution for highways in 2017 CESAsia, including four 16-line lidars, and the price was only a quarter of 64-line lidars. In the future, the cost of on-board lidar will be greatly reduced, and large-scale commercial applications are expected.